Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 1.815903 1.975949 2.146119 2.340941 2.558326 2.794002 3.069608
2026-02-01 1.542563 1.755052 1.993966 2.284009 2.628619 3.027483 3.527717
2026-02-08 1.371905 1.611786 1.892679 2.248846 2.692639 3.232998 3.949386
2026-02-15 1.254440 1.511922 1.823415 2.232634 2.763030 3.437026 4.374325
2026-02-22 1.189214 1.466076 1.810873 2.278574 2.907035 3.738001 4.947070
2026-03-01 1.111358 1.395868 1.758822 2.264545 2.965242 3.923958 5.375273
2026-03-08 1.037466 1.324157 1.697594 2.230281 2.988602 4.058404 5.737182
2026-03-15 0.959113 1.240672 1.613888 2.156930 2.948063 4.094000 5.949645
2026-03-22 0.918775 1.205415 1.592456 2.167667 3.026780 4.307424 6.454241
2026-03-29 0.891187 1.185473 1.590108 2.204191 3.144414 4.587127 7.092713
2026-04-05 0.863047 1.162704 1.581678 2.230027 3.246113 4.848625 7.727973
2026-04-12 0.834334 1.137222 1.567310 2.245021 3.330584 5.087766 8.349662
2026-04-19 0.802635 1.106414 1.544272 2.246524 3.395819 5.304789 8.966485
2026-04-26 0.760063 1.057508 1.491576 2.198059 3.375283 5.373767 9.316114
2026-05-03 0.725034 1.018009 1.450792 2.165504 3.377988 5.481915 9.752000
2026-05-10 0.696949 0.987528 1.422041 2.150205 3.408180 5.640484 10.306296
2026-05-17 0.684832 0.980635 1.429267 2.194065 3.543885 6.003667 11.329706
2026-05-24 0.660561 0.953780 1.403506 2.180687 3.576094 6.174210 11.964828
2026-05-31 0.633709 0.921702 1.367783 2.147997 3.570349 6.270070 12.446510
2026-06-07 0.600669 0.878564 1.312288 2.077992 3.490549 6.212392 12.569454
2026-06-14 0.586154 0.864256 1.303068 2.088241 3.561841 6.464476 13.453446
2026-06-21 0.577318 0.858617 1.307721 2.123100 3.682354 6.828908 14.666350
2026-06-28 0.566941 0.849987 1.306863 2.147754 3.784503 7.164373 15.862467